Types of Political Surveys and Election Surveys Done by Us


We, Janta Ka Mood Political Research and Consultancy, are a political research oriented firm founded by published author Bhaskar Singh, IIT Kanpur alum with more than 8 years of active experience in the political consultancy landscape.

There are 2 types of survey and research

Quantitative Surveys and Research

The objective of quantitative survey and research is to cover mass population on a few questions and coming up with statistics of inclination towards one side or the other. The number of respondents are high and the number of questions in the survey are few between 4-8 questions. Some popular surveys in this category are voters caste survey, phone number collection survey, duplicate voters identification survey, voter registration drive survey, popular party, popular leader survey, party inclination survey, swing booth surveys and so on. Door to door survey, telephonic survey and online surveys are popular mediums of conducting the quantitative survey.

Qualitative Survey and research

The objective of qualitative survey and research is to gather and analyze information of certain categories of target population like lets say doctors, gram pradhans, anganwadi workers, etc. Here the questionnaire is a detailed questionnaire, and specialized teams are required to administer the survey. Qualitative surveys are majorly used for manifesto making, speech writing, policy making, micro targeted campaign designing for creating impactful influence.

Here are the different types of Data Collection and Survey Offered by us:➼ Door-To-Door election survey

➼ Influencers survey (Gram Pradhan Survey, Panchayat Samiti members survey, Administrative officials survey, public representative survey, ward councillor survey, anganwadi workers survey)
➼ Target Group Survey (Shopkeepers survey, Doctors survey, Unmarried females survey, Muslim survey, college students survey, school and college principals survey, first time voters survey, single voters survey)

➼ Focussed Group Discussions

➼ Political Vendors survey

➼ Online Survey

➼ GPIT (Patent Pending Technique) - Geographic Problem Identification Technology: Online area specific problem collection tool, no manpower required and simultaneously can be administered to different parts of the country. Focus is as close as 3km radius.

Qualitative Research, Survey and Data Collection (Quality Focus)

‣ Objective of the survey to be thoroughly analyzed
‣ Questionnaire developed by Survey Research Expert of the
Field to capture the objective
‣ More Questions (15-30)
‣ More Time per Respondent (45 mins- 1 hour)
‣ Few Respondents (100-500)
‣ Specialized and Experienced Surveyors with 5-8 years of survey experience

Quantitative Research, Survey and Data Collection (Quantity Focus)‣ 

‣ Survey designed by the team of experts to capture the exact objective of the client.
‣ Questionnaire created the experts to capture the objective
‣ Few Questions in the survey (4-8)
‣ Less time per respondent (15-25 mins)
‣ More respondents (3000-40000+)
‣ Skilled manpower for data collection with 2-3 years experience

Telangana 2023 Election Survey

Questionnaire

1. How would you rate the Bharat Rashtra Samiti
Governance?
Good/Bad/ No Opinion


2. How would you rate the performance of Chief Minister of Telangana, K Chandra Shekar Rao?
: Good/Bad/ No Opinion


3. According to you which were the best policies of the BRS
government?

  • Raitu Bandhu
  • 24 Hrs Power
  • Raitu Bima
  • Kalyana Lakshmi/Shadi Mubarak
  • Raitu Loan Waiver
  • Pensions
  • Mission Bhagiratha
  • Kanti Velugu
  • Establishment of Gurukul Schools
  • Basti Dawakhna or Slum Medical Stores
  • KCR Kits
  • She Teams
  • Farmer Loan Waiver

4. According to you, which were worst policies of the BRS government?

Ans:

  • Double Bedroom Houses 3 Acres of land for Dalits Dalit Bandhu
  • Rs. 1 lakh under BC Bandhu scheme Gruha Lakshmi
  • Mission Kakatiya
  • Pending of Dwarka interest loans KG to PG scheme
  • Fee Reimbursement
  • Foreign Education Scheme (upto 25 lakh) Non-issuance of new ration Cards
  • Mana uru, mana badi Rythu Vedhikalu
  • Unemployment Allowance

5. According to you which were the best political decisions of the BRS-led government?

Ans:

  • RTC Merger with State Government Constructing Amaraveerula Sthupam District Reorganisation
  • 95%    reservation   to   local   candidates    for          recruitment examinations
  • Regional IT Hubs
  • 10% for ST community candidates in entrance exams and recruitment
  • Distribution of Podu land Pattas
  • Inclusion of superfine rice in ration
  • Insurance cover of Rs 5 lakh for white ration card holders Increasing Arogyasri cover from Rs 10 lakh to Rs 15 lakh
  • Sanctioning of Rs 3 lakh for construction of houses under Gruha Lakshmi Scheme
  • Construction of Ambedkar statue
  • Establishment of TIMS hospitals in 4 corners of city Increasing amount of Disability Pension
  • Financial assistance of Rs 1 lakh for minorities and BC
  • Expansion of Metro network at a cost of Rs 60, 000 crore Establishment of medical colleges
  • Granting permanent status to Junior Panchayats

6. According to   you    which    were    the   worst           political decisions of the BRS-led government?

Ans:

  • Building the New Secretariat ORR Tenders
  • Selling government lands
  • Transfer of teachers / 317 GO Dharni Portal
  • Granting   government    land   for    construction    of                  party offices
  • 111 GO
  • Kaleshwaram  project
  • Giving tickets to corrupt MLA
  • Failure to revamp TSPSC despite multiple paper leaks

 

7. Whom do you consider a Real Opponent to BRS?

Ans: BJP / Congress / Others / None

 

8.Who is most likely to form the government and why?

Ans: BRS / BJP / Congress / Others / Hung / Not Sure

 

9. Whom are you going to   vote for in your  Assembly constituency?

Ans: BRS / BJP / Congress / Others / Hung / Not Sure

SURVEY OVERVIEW

Sample Size – 1 lakh 20 thousand Respondents Margin of Error + / – 3

Confidence Interval: 95%

Survey Period – September 1st to October 20th

SAMPLING METHOD

For the purpose of sampling, respondents from the voter list were taken and the method adopted was Multi-Stage Stratified Random Representative Sampling.

QUALITY CONTROL

Quality control of the sample and method of survey has been done by the following methods:

  •   Audio Recordings
  •   Geo tagged images and video recordings  Call Back checks

PROJECTED VOTE SHARE

According to the survey, the vote share of the parties in Telangana would be as the following:-

  •   BRS – 41%
  •  Congress – 34%  AIMIM – 3%
  •   BJP – 14%
  •  Others – 8%

 

According to the survey results, BRS would lead with 41% vote share followed by Congress which stands at 34%.

However, BJP stands third with 14% and AIMIM at 3% only.

PROJECTED SEAT SHARE

The seat shares as projected by the findings of the survey are as the following: –

  •   BRS – 72-75
  •  Congress – 31-36  AIMIM –6- 7
  •  BJP – 4-6
  •  Others: 0

 

So, it be observed that BRS leading the projections for highest vote share and seat share in Telangana in the

upcoming Assembly elections 2023. While Congress fares

closer to BRS in terms of vote share but is far behind BRS in terms of seats.

BATTLEGROUND FOR CLOSE CONTEST

There are around 18 such Assembly seats which we noticed a very close contest between the BRS, BJP and Congress,

where:

  • Congress is leading in 4 Assembly seats
  • BJP is leading in 4 Assembly seats
  • While BRS is leading in 10 Assembly seats

WINNING PERCEPTION

Some of the major reasons why Congress remerged is due to the phenomenal victory in Karnataka Assembly elections this year, in addition to the announcement of poll promises of

providing basic amenities and guarantees to the poor.

 

However, the fact remains that Congress has been unable to implement such policies of freebies, and guarantees in Karnataka. Stark difference between poll promises and

implementation in Karnataka makes the Voters doubt on the ability of Congress especially on the Free Power to

Farmers and entrust their faith on BRS President and Current CM K Chandrasekhar Rao.

 

Even though there is strong Anti-incumbency for BRS

government yet none can match the popularity of CM KCR and most preferred CM among the leaders of Telangana.

Anti-incumbency was not converted by congress due to lack of proper candidature and confusion in cadre about the

candidate at the constituency level and leadership at the state level.



WHY IS CONGRESS UNABLE TO CATCH UP TO THE FAVOURABLE PERCEPTION OF THE VOTERS?

Congress in Telangana like elsewhere in the country is filled with internal rivalry in the local leadership at the state level and there is growing dissent amongst the local leaders and the cadre. Moreover, it does not have a strong face matching that of CM KCR, which is voting is predominantly done on the basis of how many voters like or dislike CM KCR. This indicates that Telangana politics today is led by the leader of the Telangana movement and he enjoys the highest approval ratings in the state. The penetration of 6 guarantees is high in 30 constituencies and low in 42 constituencies but BRS Manifesto fared well than 6 guarantees .

CAN CONGRESS PICK UP MOMENTUM?

Yes. Congress can pick up momentum only if it is able to solve its internal rivalries and arrive at a consensus on state building. Interesting point to note is that for Congress has edge in winning Perception but the voter confidence is very low. Winning perception does not translate to instilling confidence in the voters to vote for Congress as they have been highly benefitted from the popular schemes run by the BRS government led by CM KCR.

IS BJP UNDERREPRESENTED?

Yes. BJP is indeed underrepresented. The projected vote share is 14% while having winning chances of 4 seats to its house. This says a lot on the perception of BJP in the minds of the voters wherein the party also suffers from groupism and internal rivalry between groups led by Bandi Sanjay and G Kishan Reddy. The most important seats for the BJP are Korutla,Boath, Huzurabad, and Karimnagar.

WHAT MAKES BRS STAND OUT?

Multiple factors have contributed to the popularity of BRS among the voters in Telangana. The most obvious one being the leadership of CM KCR, which remains unmatched in the state. No opposition party in the state has a face that can match the stature of a leader like KCR.

Moreover, the highly poplar schemes attending to voters such as farmers, youth, women, BCs, govt and private employees, workers or artisans, etc. have become a role model for even the Union government led by PM Narendra Modi to replicate. The impact of beneficiaries of the popular policies, will translate to the high rates of success for the BRS.